The Experts Weigh In With Their Electoral College Predictions

(Photo by Jeff Gross/Getty Images)

 

 

 

If you haven’t entered the First Quadrennial Recovering Politician Electoral College Contest, you’ve got until tomorrow, Tuesday at 6:00 AM EST.  Here are the details for your chance to win 2 FREE lower-arena tickets to the defending national champion University of Kentucky Wildcat basketball team’s official home opener at Lexington’s Rupp Arena, versus Lafayette University, on Friday, November 16 at 7:00 PM.  Remember, the first step is to become a member of the RP’s new Facebook page, Facebook.com/RecoveringPol, and provide your predictions in the post marked “Designated RP Electoral College Contest Post.”  The award will be presented to the individual who most accurately predicts the final Electoral College vote, with tiebreakers of predicting the Senate and Housr partisan compositions after the election.

The 2008 Electoral College Map

As a service to all of you procrastinators out there, our experts — contributing RPs and friends of RP — have weighed in on their predictions.  You can choose to go with one of their picks, or stick with your own and feel smarter than a recovering politician.

So here goes.  Feel free to comment below, but remember according to the rules, only comments at the Designated RP Electoral College Contest Post at the RP Facebook page will be qualified for the grand prize.

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The RP:  Obama 303, Romney 235.  (Obama wins WI, NV, IA, NH, CO, VA and OH; Romney squeaks out the narrowest victory in FL); Senate: 50 Dems, 48 GOP, 2 Indy; House: 239 GOP, 196 Dems

Contributing RP Rod Jetton:

President–  Romney 277 and Obama 261.  Romney takes the true toss ups of NH, CO, IA and WI, while holding the safer states of FL, NC and VA.  Obama keeps OH, MN, MI, NV and PA.  The auto bailout keeps Obama with Ohio, but Ryan and the debates help Romney hold WI which Ohio is not required on their path to victory.  PA will be close but O will hold on there.  R wins popular vote 52-48. With unemployment at 7.9% and even worse, gas prices up over $3.50, it is amazing that any incumbent could even keep it close.  When we add in how Obama seemed to have a bit of the Bush 42 attitude of not really wanting to mess with a re-election campaign plus the Libya debacle it is hard to see Obama winning.  Romney is a solid steady campaigner that nobody loves, but he has a good resume and seems to be up to the job of fixing the economy.

Senate–  D-52 and R-46. (I-2)  The Republicans will pick up a few seats but the weak candidates will keep them from taking the majority.  My state of Missouri is a good example of that.  McCaskill was in bad shape and should have been defeated in 2012 but with all Akin’s messaging problems she is poised to survive.

House – R-237 and D- 198.  There will not be a big change in the House and Romney’s debates and October surge will help Republicans down ticket in many of the battleground seats.

Jordan Stivers (Friend of RP): Obama 280, Romney 258; Senate:  R-47, D – 51, I-2; House:  R-237, D-198

Contributing RP John Y. Brown, III: Election Day will be followed by Wednesday….and, if all goes as planned, followed by Thursday. Short of cataclysmic fallout on Tuesday night, Thursday more than likely will be followed by Friday. And then we will probably see something resembling what we used to call “the weekend.”

Friend of RP Zac Byer (traveling with VP GOP nominee Paul Ryan): My head still says Romney tops out at 256, but after visiting 6 swing states in the last 56 hours, and my gut says otherwise: Romney: 277, Obama: 261; 51 D, 47 R, 2 I; 238 R, 197 D

Contributing RP Jeff Smith: Obama 277, Romney 261; Senate: R-48, D – 50+2I; House: R-240, D-195

Ron Granieri (Friend of RP):  Obama: 280, Romney: 258; Senate: 51-49 Dems (with independents); House: 245-190 Reps

Contributing RP Nick Paleologos: Obama 275. Romney 263.

Steven Schulman (Friend of RP): Whatever Nate Silver says.

Contributing RP Jimmy DahrougObama 275, Romney 263; Senate: Dems 51 GOP 47; 2 Indy;  House: GOP 241  Dems 194

David Snyder (Friend of RP): Obama wins 290-248.  Senate – 51 Democrats 47 Republicans, 2 Independents.  House – 234 Republicans, 201 Democrats

Contributing RP Greg Harris: Obama: 332, Romney: 206 (Polls indicate presidential race is neck and neck among “likely” voters. Obama’s lead is greater among “registered” voters. These votes, under-represented in polling, will redound to Obama’s advantage in states like FL and CO.); Senate: R-44, D – 54, I – 2; House: R-232, D-203

Robert Kahne (Friend of RP): Obama: 332, Romney: 206. Senate: D:53 (inc 2 IND) R: 47. House: D: 205, Rep: 230

Contributing RP Jason Grill: Obama gets 294 and Romney 244; Senate – 52 D 46 R  2 I; House – 234 R 201 D.  

And watch this for more of Jason’s analysis:

Lauren Mayer: Swing State Envy

It’s been an incredibly divided election season, but seeing new BFFs President Obama and Governor Christie has inspired me to be more bipartisan.

Those of us in solidly red or blue states may disagree vehemently about our choice of candidate, but there’s one huge thing we have in common.  We feel left out of all the rallies, speeches, door-to-door canvassing and incessant ads lavished on the few states whose votes will actually affect the presidential race.

I mean, sure, my vote matters on local races and propositions, but it’s not the same. Those of us in states like California or Texas never get called by pollsters or visited by campaign workers – meanwhile voters in a few crucial states are complaining about all the attention, like a gorgeous celebrity complaining about how hard it is to keep her weight up because she forgets to eat. But instead of feeling sorry for myself, I decided to let my inner musical theatre geek pay tribute to perhaps the most pivotal swing state of all . . . .

Nancy Slotnick: What Sandy Did To My Home & My Closing Argument for Obama

I am Katniss Everdeen and I approve this message. Ok, I’m not her. But I read the trilogy and I know she would be with me on this. Trust me.

Hurricane Sandy did this to my house.

And still when I heard that Mayor Bloomberg endorsed Obama because of his stance on global warming, I thought, “That’s great, maybe something good will come of this!”  But I didn’t think much about global warming.  Then Senator Schumer said it.  And still I thought- they’re politicizing the issue.  We just need some FEMA assistance right now.  I couldn’t wrap my head around global warming.  Maybe I was scared.  It was Halloween after all.  And we just lost our house.

Global warming is such a lukewarm phrase anyway – it has no bite to it.  All I can think of is people who want a cause to complain about.  Like Chicken Little with old “the sky is falling” thing.  I love the smell of Chicken Little on my grill in the morning.  Especially the grill I used to have in Fire Island.  We called it circle chicken- because it was on the rotisserie- and it was so good.  But I digress and I am getting sad now.

Then BAM– and it hit me.  When I started pondering whether we should re-build our house at all, since our house is on a barrier island, I realized– We are destroying our planet and I’ll be lucky if NYC is around when my son grows up.  This storm brought the most powerful city in the world to its knees.  Way worse in devastation and vulnerability than 9-11.  It’s true that because of great decisions on the part of the Mayor and others there were minimal lives lost.  But when we lose whole communities, this is bigger than we realize.  To anyone who’s even still considering voting for Romney after this—I hope that your roads are flooded and you can’t make it to the voting booths.  I hope a fallen telephone pole blocks you from getting to the poll site.

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Nancy Slotnick: What Sandy Did To My Home & My Closing Argument for Obama

Julie Rath: Obama vs. Romney– The Sartorial Showdown

We are very excited at The Recovering Politician to introduce our newest weekly reinvention contributor:  Julie Rath, one of today’s leading style arbiters in the men’s fashion industry.  (Read her bio here.) 

Julie will be sharing fashion tips and advice with our readers, many of whom (mostly the guys — I can see you out there!) are shall we say, sartorially challenged. With Julie’s guidance, perhaps some of our readers can reinvent themselves as fashion icons.  Or at least be more presentable in the workplace and out on the town.

Of course this being only a few days before a major election, Julie’s first piece discuss a critical issue in Campaign 2012: the style choices of Barack Obama and Mitt Romney.  While not as disparate a contrast as Kennedy versus Nixon, Julie’s keen eye offers a unique perspective on the candidates’ differences.  Enjoy and learn:
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In this Fall’s battle of reds versus blues, my stylist’s eye is trained on the  important issues. That’s right: the Obama-Romney sartorial showdown. Whatever  your political inclination or level of fashion interest, the candidates’ style  statements have an undeniable effect on how they are perceived by the voters.

One misstep-in-mandals can read as silly and out of touch with what’s current.

Read on for how the two candidates stack up:

 

Debate Style

While both candidates keep it ultra-safe and conservative with dark navy suits,  white shirts and blue or red ties (which, interestingly they exchanged in the  final debate), Obama gets the leg up for his double-vented and shorter suit  jacket, well-executed tie dimples, better pant length and overall trimmer fit on  his suit. See all that excess fabric around Romney’s shoulders and sleeves? He  needs to go down a jacket size.

 

 

Both candidates have a nice build, and a suit  that fits like armor will show that off.  While Romney looks good in the shorter point collar, I’d like to see Obama  mix it up with a more stylish semispread. Also, Obama is smart to wear a  slightly high collar to disguise his thin neck.

 

 

 

Everyday Style

How do the candidates fare when they hit the streets shaking hands, kissing  babies, and shooting b-ball? The verdict is pretty much the same: Obama for the  win with his flat front pants and better-fitting clothes across the board. On  the topic of sleeve-rolling (a common practice among politicians who want to  show they’re ready to “tackle the issues”), Romney could take a lesson or two  from Obama on how to do this correctly and authentically.

 

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Julie Rath: Obama vs. Romney– The Sartorial Showdown

Lisa Miller: The Best of Aging

“Beautiful young people are accidents of nature, but beautiful old people are works of art.”

–Eleanor Roosevelt

“Age is an issue of mind over matter. If you don’t mind, it doesn’t matter.”

— Mark Twain

“The best part about being my age is in knowing how my life worked out.”

— Scott Adams

I’m particularly drawn to this last quote.  It has me thinking about life as a story, experiences filling the pages of each chapter, and chapters are all made complete by both insignificant and significant details.

As I think about this, I see that we can’t possibly know the relevance of an experience until many experiences later when they’ve all been assembled and integrated into the story line.

But even having been the one to have lived my own experiences doesn’t automatically make me well versed in the symbolism and meaning therein.

Could I lead a high school or college English seminar on the symbolism of love, addiction, family, grief, bliss, and all the living that has been the great work of my life so far?  Hmmm.

Hell, yes. I force my teen daughters to take this class almost every day. (I’m sure they’d say “hell” was a good way to begin this paragraph.) But they are allowed to audit because I am a kind and righteous mother.

But perspective isn’t immediate—it tends to be quite a little journey down that road of whatever experience and accompanying emotional stuff it features—it has to be that way, the panoramic view requires distance and space.  And similarly, the plot doesn’t make sense when you read only chapter 18.

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Lisa Miller: The Best of Aging

Lauren Mayer: Closing Argument for Obama

I’m the proud owner of a uterus, and I’d like to be in charge of it.  Period.  (And yes, really bad pun intended.)

No matter how many positions Romney takes on female reproductive rights (and he’s taken more positions than are in the Kama Sutra), we have to look at his party platform and his choice of running mate, not to mention his unwillingness to withdraw his endorsement from candidates like Richard Mourdock.  You know it’s bad when Romney comes across as a moderate, because he actually would allow an abortion exception in cases of rape . . . excuse me?

And as for the pundits and online commentators who wonder why so many women are ‘quibbling about irrelevant subjects like women’s stuff instead of the economy’?  Even the best economy doesn’t matter to a woman who can’t control her own body, on top of the fact that the GOP also doesn’t believe that women deserve pay equity, or insurance coverage of birth control – and those ARE economic issues, by the way.  (Plus anyone who was alive before Roe v. Wade might recall that making abortions illegal doesn’t end them, it just makes them more dangerous.  I’m with Bill Clinton in hoping abortions will be safe, legal, and rare.)

Add in all of Romney’s mis-statements and condescension to 47%ers, like my mom who’s on social security and depends on Medicare, on top of his refusal to release tax returns, his belief that millionaires should pay a lower tax rate than I do, and his plan to return to the same unregulated, ‘trickle-down economics’ that caused the recession in the first place, his reliance on Bush-Cheney-era neocon hawks, oh, and did I mention his latest lie about Jeep moving to China, even running an ad after Chrysler explicitly refuted that story?)

Fortunately, before I start ranting too much, I’ll take a break and launch into song!

Zac Byer: Gen Y He Said — Closing Argument for Mitt Romney

Our resident Gen Y “He Said; She Said” team — Jordan Stivers and Zac Byer (who also happen to be dating) offer their closing arguments for the presidential candidates.  Click here to read Jordan’s piece.  And Gen Y’s unofficial Hollywood spokeswoman, actor, writer and director Lena Dunham, weighs in here.

Here’s Zac:

 

Can America really afford to continue down the path we are on?

Can we afford to continue with the same policies that have left 23 million Americans unemployed?  That have resulted in the smallest labor force in over thirty years?  That have ballooned our national debt over $16 trillion – $5 trillion of which has been added in the last four years alone?

Forget about whether or not you’re satisfied with those numbers – I can’t believe you are.  So, the better question is whether you accept those numbers?  I sure hope you don’t.

We must bring real accountability to Washington.  Politicians don’t deserve free passes, especially when they pile even more debt on an already burdened public.  The cost of living is too high, and our national morale is too low.  Short-sighted, quick-fix economic policies and Washington solutions do not have to become the new normal.  Neither does the excuse-me-blame-him strategy.  We shouldn’t – and we won’t – accept that.

That’s why we shouldn’t accept four more years of poor prioritization, insincere excuses, and half-baked leadership.  It’s why we shouldn’t accept four more years of Barack Obama.

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I won’t argue that the economy was in a good place on January 20, 2009.  The Bush Administration gave us a lot to pay for:  two wars, a new prescription drug subsidy, TARP, lower tax rates.  While his conservatism may have been compassionate, it certainly wasn’t cash-conscious.

And President Obama means well.  While I didn’t vote for him four years ago, I wanted him to succeed as much as his most loyal supporter.  When we wake up in the morning and go to sleep at night, we are still Americans…and we are all in this together.

But in the last four years, Obama’s hope has changed to disappointment.

Take the 2012 fiscal year.  The government taxed us to the tune of $2.5 trillion to operate the country.  Whether you think the 16th Amendment is the best or worst component of the Constitution, I hope you’ll agree that $2.5 trillion is a lot of money.  And yet, $2.5 trillion wasn’t enough for Obama’s government.  They spent $3.5 trillion – 44% more than they brought in!  Not only is that unsustainable, but in Mitt Romney’s words, that’s immoral.

Americans all across the country work hard to stick to a budget.  We live within our means, and we don’t spend more than we can afford.  If we can do it, why can’t Washington?  Why shouldn’t Washington?

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Zac Byer: Gen Y He Said — Closing Argument for Mitt Romney

Jordan Stivers: Gen Y She Said — Closing Argument for Obama

Many virtual trees have fallen in examining Gen Y’s involvement in Campaign 2012.  Seen as an excited, game-changing voting bloc in 2008 for Barack Obama, much has changed during the job-challenged recovery of the past few years.

Our resident Gen Y “He Said; She Said” team — Jordan Stivers and Zac Byer (who also happen to be dating) weighs in.  Click here to read Zac’s piece.  And Gen Y’s unofficial Hollywood spokeswoman, actor, writer and director Lena Dunham, weighs in here.

In 2008, I was a junior at the University of Kentucky and it was my first time voting in a presidential election.  I found it so exciting that my first ballot ever cast was for Barack Obama, a candidate so different from any I had ever seen or heard about, not only in terms of race or background, but in what he stood for – equality, opportunity, and working together.  As I walked around my fairly conservative campus the day after the election, wearing my Obama 08’ shirt and getting dirty looks from other students, I felt so proud that our country had come together and decided to go in a new direction.

I admit that a lot has changed since 2008, not only in my life, but in the country and in President Obama’s White House as well.  I’ve graduated from college, worked for two years, and started law school.  I’ve become an adult and realized that the state of the economy affects me and that it is vitally important for our national wellbeing.  The country has come down from the high it was on after the 2008 election, and because of the difficult recovery from the even more difficult financial situation Obama inherited, many have become disillusioned with the President.  But I don’t think this is a result of failed leadership of the President, but a result of our having impossibly high expectations of Obama, and a lack of understanding of the depth of the problems he has had to solve.

I’ve been hearing a lot of Republicans, and Mitt Romney himself, talking smugly about how young people are not as excited about Obama this time around, as if they’re saying, “I told you so, now you know better than to have any optimism about government and the good things it can achieve.”  This is so cynical.  The mood is different this time, but that’s natural.  The President has had the hard job of actually governing for the past four years, and some of the sexiness has worn off.  But this doesn’t mean that young people do not believe that President Obama is still the candidate with our best interests in mind.  Because of the President’s policies, I’ve been able to stay on my parents’ health insurance through my transition from school to work, then back to law school.  He’s supported many of my friends and colleagues who are gay by declaring that they should have the same rights as everyone else. He has kept student loan rates down so that we can pursue higher education. He’s allowed those of us who have grown up in the U.S. but are still not considered citizens to make it official.  And let’s not forget how strongly he has represented the U.S. in foreign policy by killing Osama Bin Laden.

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Jordan Stivers: Gen Y She Said — Closing Argument for Obama

Nancy Slotnick: Binders Full of Women

So ever since Romney used that phrase, I have  gotten boatloads full of nostalgic comments about Drip, the dating-café  that I started in the late ‘90s.  That’s because we actually did have binders full of women.  Women seeking Men.  Women seeking women.  And we set them up on dates.  With Matchmaker Café, we now do the same thing—i.e. set up men and women on real dates at a real café, and we introduce them when they get there.  Even though we now have all the technology we can imagine for meeting online, we still need that human interaction.   We still need personalized service and hand holding, even though we have Facebook.  Even though we have these things called aircraft carriers.

What made that comment about binders full of women so funny?  I think it was the irony.  If women were really equal in the world of politics, then Romney wouldn’t need to round up women in binders.  He wouldn’t have to go any farther then his own backyard.  They would already be on his short list.  So the binders represent a problem endemic to the system.  As did the binders at Drip.  They represented the same kind of problem.

When the world was simpler and people usually grew  old in the same town where they had grown up, they would meet their  mates through family and friends.  There were local community hang-outs and places like Cheers where everybody knows your name.  (Drip got compared to Cheers a lot.)  Today there’s a level of anonymity and isolation in big cities that engenders a problem when it comes to dating.  You need those binders full of women.  And you don’t have a staff like Romney did to round them up.  Luckily you’re only looking for one.

So why is it, in this age of Facebook, that no one uses Facebook for dating?  Facebook is our backyard, and it is the technological equivalent of binders full of women, yet there is embarrassment around your Facebook friends  knowing that you are single.  When I coach women about dating, I talk about turning your Cablight on, which means showing that you’re available.  When you turn it on then you get more and better dates.  But when Matchmaker Café wants to show your friends that you are using the App, a lot of you have told me that you want to turn off that feature.

What damage will be done if you’re friends know that you are single or that you are using Matchmaker Café?  Why is there a stigma?  Who has time for this ambivalence and mixed messages?  (Besides Romney’s staff.)  You have to show that you’re available by being open to rejection, and even embracing rejection. You have to post publicly for what you are looking for, even if it’s embarrassing.  I’m going to do that right now.  I’m looking for a café owner or small hospitality group in NYC who would like to partner with me to do a re-make of Drip.  We will have binders full of women.  But this time the binders will be digitized on iPads and the profiles will  utilize Facebook to tap into the existing social graph.  Why?  Because Facebook is online dating’s equivalent of nuclear submarines.  And because it will be so much fun.

Ron Granieri: I’m An Undecided Voter — And Yes, I Know How Babies Are Made

As the late night comics and cable screaming heads continue to mock and skewer the small percentage of undecided voters who will tip the balance in next week’s presidential election — How can someone be so stupid as to not be able to tell the difference between the two candidates? — I learned that one of the smartest people I’ve ever met is among this derided consitituency. 

Ron Granieri is a graduate of Harvard College, earned his PhD in History from the University of Chicago, and has served as a professor at an Ivy League university.  Moreover, as a precocious college student — who happened to be my roommate — Ron’s near photographic memory would enable him to beat me at Trivial Pursuit without ever allowing me a turn. 

I’ve asked Ron to share with the RP Nation the path of a Reagan acoloyte who became frustrated with the far right turn of the GOP, only to be later disenchanted with the promise of the Obama Administration. 

Because it will be voters like Ron who could ultimately determine our next President.

The RP

= = = =

When The RP approached me the other day to ask me to join in the round table of “closing statements” for one candidate or another in the presidential election, it forced me to confront something I have tried to avoid for many months.

We have all seen the skits and made the jokes about undecided voters. Saturday Night Live mocked them for being ignorant.  [Watch the video at the bottom of this post — in which an undecided voter asks whether French kissing could lead to pregnancy.] The brilliant Steven Colbert recently took it even further, comparing the elusive undecided voter to Jodie Foster’s epically (if unintentionally) hilarious backcountry wild child, Nell.

I have enjoyed a few chuckles at these images myself. But deep down I have been hiding a shameful secret: I am one of them.

I never thought it would come to this.

Ron’s childhood idol

I have always been politically curious, going back to my childhood when I talked politics with my extremely political father. I can remember telling him I thought President Nixon should resign during the summer of 1974 (I was 7). By the time I was in high school in the early 1980s, I had become, following in the intellectual footsteps of my childhood idol, William F. Buckley, Jr., an enthusiastic conservative. My father, who admired Buckley in spite of rather than because of his ideology, was not completely happy about that, but he respected my positions, and we had some wonderfully spirited arguments. When the Georgetown School of Foreign Service application requested an essay outlining the one international problem I would most like to address in my future career, I wrote a perfervid essay on the need to combat international communism. No copy of the essay survives from that pre-word processing age, unless it is in a Georgetown archive somewhere, but I well remember being proud of calling communism “an international gangrene that threatens the health and safety of every society it touches.” I wonder what the folks at the Walsh School thought of it. I don’t know if it helped or not, but I did get in, even if I ended up going somewhere else.

In college I became one of the most visible conservatives on campus, editing Harvard’s monthly conservative student paper, the Salient. It culminated in my being featured in a full page of the graduation issue of the Crimson in 1989, as one of a handful of notable graduates of my class. That article, I discovered, is still available online, but when I think of it I think of the yellowing clipping that my mother framed and hung on the wall in what used to be my bedroom in Niagara Falls.

 

Graduation Day: Ron at far left, The RP, second from right

I had opinions on everything back then. Some of them I still hold; some I do not. A few of them make me shake my head in affectionate embarrassment for a young man who was awfully full of himself. Nevertheless, I had a pretty clear sense of where I stood on things; I voted in every election I could, and my votes followed those convictions. It was not always easy to be the most conservative person in the room (an experience that followed me from college to graduate school to at least the start of my academic career). But it worked well thanks to lots of good friends and plenty of mutual good will and respect for differences.

In 88, Ron supported Bush 41, but teen hooligans made him a sleeping billboard for the liberal Dukakis

Gradually, however, my sense of having a clear political home began to shift. Part of it was seven years living in the wonderful state of South Carolina, birthplace of both Steven Colbert and Strom Thurmond. In the final years of the last century and the early years of this one, I saw a Republican party that became increasingly focused on issues that did not appeal to me. On the local level I saw a rising tide of anti-intellectualism, anti-urbanism, and nativism. The national party displayed those traits as well, but mostly became fixated on slashing taxes, and too often responded to serious discussions about how to provide enough revenue for existing programs with vaguely neo-Confederate rhetoric about shrinking government disconnected from political reality. It was the party of the suburbs, of the Sun Belt and the Evangelicals. None of those traits much appealed to me, an Italian-Irish Catholic intellectual from a Rust Belt industrial town who prefers Alexander Hamilton to Thomas Jefferson and believes the Good Guys indisputably won The War of the Rebellion. The Cold War conservatism that I had embraced so closely, with its sense of national purpose, was dying out, and the new individualized Right was leaving me cold.

I remember well the moment when I really felt that things were slipping away. It was in spring 2000, on the eve of the South Carolina primary. I answered the phone and it was someone from the George W. Bush campaign team taking a poll. She was very pleasant, asked me if I had decided whether to vote for Bush or John McCain, and I admitted I was thinking it over. She then launched into a critique of McCain that trumpeted Bush’s plans for immediate tax cuts that would give the budget surplus back to the voters. I responded that I liked a lot of things about Governor Bush’s “compassionate conservatism,” which I took to mean conservatism based not simply on individualism but which included a sense of shared community responsibility. At the same time, I told her I did not really think that it made sense to rush to cut taxes when we still had a national debt in the trillions. (This was even before Afghanistan, Iraq, Medicare Part D and TARP, of course.)

An embarrassed pause followed. Then she curtly thanked me for my comments and hung up.

I should have taken that as a clear sign of where the Bush campaign stood and where my concerns fit into that agenda. But breaking up is hard to do. Even as I felt increasingly alienated from the GOP, it continued to get my votes. At least, that is, until 2008, when my frustration with the party and where it had led the country moved me to turn my back on them and vote for Barack Obama.

There, I said it. College friends may need a moment. I’ll wait. I recommend deep breaths.

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Ron Granieri: I’m An Undecided Voter — And Yes, I Know How Babies Are Made