The Recovering Politician Calls the Presidency for Obama

At 10:45 PM EST, TheRecoveringPolitician.com becomes the first major media entity to call the 2012 presidential campaign for Barack Obama.

I have no proof, nor math to rely upon.  I’m just really tired and it is past my bed time.

Good night y’all.

LIVE Election Night Twitter Debate — Join In With #RecoveringPol

 

Beginning RIGHT NOW, our contributing RPs will be offering their instant thoughts on the election return via Twitter, broadcast live below.

You too can join the discussion by using your Twitter account and adding the hashtag #RecoveringPol to your tweets.

So please join us NOW:



 

Official Entries Into RP’s Electoral College Contest

The 2008 Electoral College Map

Here are the official entrants into The Recovering Politician‘s first quadrennial Electoral College prediction. Winner received 2 tickets to the University of Kentucky men’s basketball home opener on November 16.  Read the rules here.  And good luck to all entrants!

  • Jerry Jackson Jr. Obama: 333. Romney: 205. Senate: Dem: 53. Rep: 46. 1 Ind. House: Dem: 215. Rep: 220
  • Jason James Taylor Obama: 256, Romney 282. REP 53, DEM 44, IND 3. REP 195, DEM 240.
  • Luke Hawkins Obama: 270, Romney: 268. Senate: DEM 51, REP 46, IND 3. House: DEM 238, REP 197
  • Robert Kahne Obama: 332, Romney: 206. Senate: D:53(inc 2 IND) R: 47. House: D: 205, Rep: 230
  • S Ch Hite Romney 296, Obama 242 Senate: GOP 51 Dem 47 Ind 2 House: GOP 245 Dem 190
  • Michael West Romney 270, Obama 268 Senate: D52 R47 I1 House: 232R 203D
  • Darrick Holloman Romney 304 Obama 234 – Senate: Dem 49 GOP 49 Ind 2 – House: GOP 249 Dem 183
  • Kevin Whitehead Obama 332 – Romney 206; Senate 52D / 46R / 2Ind; House 238R / 197D
  • Casey Rogers Obama 329 Romney 209 Senete: 48 R / 50 D / 2 I House: 230 R / 205 D
  • Janice Rusty Knife-Messer Obama: 312; Romney, most of the rest of them, the 3rd party candidates evenly split the rest. (Sorry, the Electoral College just confuses me — but my %-ages should be pretty close.
  • Linda Potts Sinclair 273 For Mr. Obama and 264 for what’s his face from the rebublican party Rest for JYBJr. or JYBIII
  • Janssen Willhoit Obama 277 Romney 261; Senate: 48 R / 50 D / 2I; House: 236 R / 199 D
  • Joe Sonka Obama 332 Romney 206; Senate: 52 D / 46 R / 2 I; 230 R / 205 D
  • Carolyn Lower Lainhart Obama 281 Romney 257 Senate D 56/R 44 House D 210/R 215
  • Jeremy Midkiff Obama-277 Romney-261/ Senate – 51 D – 47 R- 2 I/ House- 243 R 192 D
  • Ray Haddix Obama 294, Romney 244 Senate: Dem-52 Rep-47 Ind-1 House: Dem 200 Rep 235
  • Chris Fugett Romney 305 Obama 233, Rep 58 Demos 38 indep 4, House 235 Rep & 200 Demos
  • Jesse Robbins Romney 277 and Obama 261/Dems 51 Rep 48 Ind 1/ repubs 247 Dems 188
  • Michael Chambers Obama: 303, Romney: 235; Senate: D-51, R-47, I-2.; House: R-237, D-198
  • Fran Berg 275 Obama , 263 Romney D52, R47, I1 House 229, 204
  • Kim Lawless Obama 290 Romney 248; Senate D-54 R-44 I-2, House D-198 R-237
  • Max Bridges Romney 273, Obama 265; Senate D-51 R-47 I-2; House Results R-242, D-143
  • Nicholas Holmes Obama 297, Romney 241. Senate: D-52, R-46, I-2. House: D-202, R-233.
  • Todd Bledsoe Obama 259, Romney 279. Senate D-50, R-48, I-2. House: R-241, D-144
  • Jerry Fontenot I agree with Todd Bledsoe
  • Thomas Marino Obama= 295/ Romney 243; Senate D= 54, R= 44, I=2; house R=239, D=196
  • Rob Jones Obama 277 Romney 261; Senate D 51 R 47 I 2; House R 240 D 195
  • Adam Story Obama 294 Romney 244; Senate 52 D 46 R 2I; House R 240 D 195
  • Johnny Johnson Obama 303, Romney 235; Senate 52 Dems, 46 Rep, 2 Ind.; House 200 Dems, 235 Reps.
  • David Ramey Obama 290, Romeny 248; Sen. Dems 54, Rep. 44, 2 ind; House GOP 241, Dems 194
  • Bryan Clark E-College — Obama 290, Romney 248. Senate — Democrats 52, Republicans 46, Independents 2. House — Republicans 233, Democrats 202.
  • Eric Hussein Polsgrove Election Prediction: Obama/Biden 332 EV 50.6% of vote: Romney/Ryan 206 EV 48.3% of vote; Senate 53 Democrats (includes 2 independent), 47 Republicans; House 208 Democrats, 227 Republicans
  • Will Moynahan Obama 303, 235 Romney. Senate: Dems-51, Indep-2, Reps 47. House: R-235, D-200.
  • Eliot Walter I would like to revise my numbers and add Florida to the Obama column. Obama, 315; Romney, 222. Senate: Dem, 50; Rep, 48; Ind, 2. House: Dem, 204; Rep, 231. Floridians understand hurricanes and the snow-birds in Florida can and will tip the scale there.
  • John Hernandez 285-253 Obama, Senate 53 dems, 47 Gop, House 230 Gop- 205 Dems…
  • John Brazel Obama 303 Romney 235, Senate D 50, R48, House R 240 D 193. Thanks for playing, y’all.

An Election Day Message for Concerned Romney Supporters

An Election Day Message for Anxious Obama Supporters

Click here for Nate’s latest assessment of a 90% probability of an Obama win.

Tonight — Join RPs for a Live Twitter Debate Using #RecoveringPol

Tuesday night, beginning at 6PM EST, when the polls close in Kentucky (We’re #1 at something other than hoops!), our contributing recovering politicians will be offering their instant thoughts on the election returns, speechifying and mainstream media coverage via Twitter.  We will be broadcasting their live Twitter feed here on The Recovering Politician home page.

Even better, YOU are invited to join in the debate.  You can participate in the discussion by using you own Twitter account and adding the hashtag #RecoveringPol to your tweets.  We encourage you to participate through the evening, and please free free to engage, question, and challenge our contributing RPs.

So please join us Tuesday night at 6PM EST, until the wee hours Wednesday morning — and who knows, maybe even longer…

Open Election Thread

I voted!

For Barack Obama (President), Ben Chandler (Congress) and Reginald Thomas (State Representative)

Have you voted yet?

For whom?

How long did you wait?

Any other thoughts?

Please comment below:

The Recovering Politician Bowl

After this week’s action the Recovering Politician Bowl standings are finally starting to stretch out and reveal which teams will continue to succeed or fail.

Targaryen 2012 was the big winner of the week as he into the top tier of teams and also chose to start rookie phenom Doug Martin who ended the day with just over 51 fantasy points – second highest all-time in one week next to Clinton Portis.

Team Unibrow and your hero, the Fighting Mongooses, join Targaryen 2012 in the top tier at 6-3.

The RP Tittles and your fearless leader continue to lead the league in scoring and represent the top of the second tier 5-4 teams, along with Quaker Country, The Dirty Diapers, and The Bungals. Next are three teams at 4-5 who could see themselves get back into the race with a good string of games.

Finally, bringing up the rear are the Augies at 3-6 and the lowly, lowly Bandits at 1-8. Though it should continue to be noted that the Bandits are still receiving the highest scoring opponents overall. The #1 team this week, Targaryen 2012, has faced opponents who scored over 200 points less throughout the season.

Rank Team W-L-T Pct Pts For Pts Against Streak Waiver Moves
1. Targaryen 2012 6-3 .667 894.72 753.34 W-2 8 13
2. Fighting Mongooses 6-3 .667 860.88 810.56 W-2 9 11
3. Team Unibrow 6-3 .667 838.16 800.62 W-4 12 16
4. The RP Tittles 5-4 .556 936.56 844.40 W-2 4 9
5. The Dirty Diapers 5-4 .556 877.16 785.96 L-1 1
6. Quaker Country 5-4 .556 824.36 783.74 W-2 5 4
7. The Bungals 5-4 .556 763.36 838.82 W-1 2 2
8. Powerful Lobbyists 4-5 .444 850.60 814.68 L-2 3 2
9. Show-Me-Mules 4-5 .444 828.40 919.06 L-2 11 16
10. WOMBATS 4-5 .444 728.76 745.84 L-2 7 12
11. Augies 3-6 .333 812.92 834.50 L-2 10 20
12. Bandits 1-8 .111 675.98 960.34 L-6 6 6

Election Day Web Gems

Today’s the day: Election Day 2012

Ladies and gentlemen, it has arrived: Election Day 2012. Did you ever think this day would come?

For a moment, let’s put our politics aside and ponder. Today, we show the world democracy in action in our free elections. This is a day on which people from all parties and affiliations came be proud of our this country we call the United States of America.

Mike Allen, writing in today’s POLITICO Playbook: “Soak it in, have fun, pop some popcorn: This is an amazing, romantic day in our history and for our democracy.”

Now, some links to get you through Election Day:

9 takeaways from 2012. … “8. Both parties have soul-searching to do” [POLITICO]

A great interactive on the NYT – ‘What will swing the states’ [NYT]

It all comes down to turnout. [The Daily Beast]

A complete guide to the key U.S. Senate races. [The Guardian]

Nate Silver’s final look. [FiveThirtyEight/NYT]

POLITICO takes a look at the ‘what ifs’: Obama loses. Romney loses.

Are exit polls still relevant? With media trends changing, so do methods. [USA Today]

And the BIG ONE – “Suppose it’s close,” writes Jeffrey Toobin. [The New Yorker]

 

It’s Election Day!

As you prepare to head out to the polls, we offer you this link to the dozens of “closing argument” pieces written by our contributing recovering politicians and the brilliant members of the RP Nation.  You will see plenty of advocacy for Obama and Romney, and even the cases made for Green Party standard-bearer Jill Stein, Libertarian Gary Johnson and even Mos Def.

Maybe these arguments have helped you make up your mind.  Maybe their have strengthened your prior determination.  Or maybe you just feel a little more educated and/or entertained.  Anyway, it has been a great week at The Recovering Politician, and we appreciate that you’ve played along.

Our Electoral College contest entry period has closed, but you can view what dozens of members of the RP Nation have predicted for tonight, by clicking here and reading through the comments section.

And tonight, beginning at 6 PM EST, this home page will be the site of a live twitter feed of our contributing RPs as they assess the vote-counting and speechifying.  And as always, you are invited to join in the live debate, by tweeting from your own Twitter account, using the hashtag #RecoveringPol.  Your tweets will be broadcast live at this Web site, along side our team of recovering pols..

So join us tonight.  Good luck to the candidates of your choice.  And get ready to join us in healing the nation tomorrow.

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